Tennis Prose




Dec/13

26

Who will be the next first-time major title winner?

Benoit_Paire[1]
Djokovic, Nadal, Federer, Murray and Del Potro have the ATP under control. It’s hard to see Dimitrov, Tomic, Sock, or Raonic going all the way in 20l4.

Paire, Harrison, Smyczek, Querrey, Isner, Khachanov, Pablo Busta, Cilic, Tsonga, Monfils, Wawrinka, Berdych are all in the mix, to varying degrees, but I just can’t see them standing tall on the final Sunday of a fornight.

On the WTA side, it’s a different story. I have a player in mind who I think can win a major next year. She won five singles titles this past season, impressively straight-setting Sam Stosur in the Kremlin Cup final.

Yes, I think Simona Halep is going to be the next first time major title winner in pro tennis.

Who do you think?

57 comments

  • Dan Markowitz · December 27, 2013 at 9:05 am

    I like Ms. Halep. She’s got that whole Lolita thing going for her even as she’s in her 20’s. Now you really put Sock up in the Raonic-Tomic-Dmitrov category? I think young Jack is very green as a player, talented but green. I like Paire, but he’s too up and down. Wawa’s not a good enough player. Berdych is a poser for the very top of a slam. So I guess that leaves me with Raonic and Dmitrov. Tomic just doesn’t have it in the belly, and that’s why he needs his crazy dad around.

  • DanM · December 27, 2013 at 7:53 pm

    I love this picture of Paire. Henk is good at what he does. Caught the Frenchman in a beautiful agile position.

  • Kelsey · December 27, 2013 at 8:40 pm

    Caroline Wozniacki!

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 27, 2013 at 9:35 pm

    Henk is high calibre photographer and Paire is a fine form for a subject.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 27, 2013 at 9:37 pm

    Like that idea Kelsey hope you are right. Maybe breaking up with McIlrory and new coach Hogstedt will spark her tennis next year.

  • DanM · December 27, 2013 at 9:40 pm

    Don’t look now, but serve n volley tennis is alive and well on Tsonga’s legs and racquet in Abu Dhabi. Tsonga is serving amazingly and following every first serve up to net and hitting some beauty volleys. Murray doesn’t look too good. He tried to chase one of Tsonga’s drop volleys and came up gimpy. I’d love to see Tsonga employ this serve n volley game and win the Aussie!

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 27, 2013 at 10:48 pm

    Murray did not engage into his fifth gear vs. Tsonga. He played it like a practice set. 8-l head to head will be 9-l when they meet next in ATP event.

  • Harold · December 28, 2013 at 3:43 pm

    I don’t think there will be a new Slam winner until 2015 and maybe Aus 2016( oz seems to pop in a surprise every once in a while).
    Nobody outside the top 4, and I mean Djoko, Nadal, Murray and Delpo, can put together a 7 match run, with 2 and maybe 3 huge upsets coming in the quarters, semi ‘s and Finals. Too much to ask for someone seeded 9 or higher to put together that kind of run, unless the draw opens up bigtime, and other than Wimby 2013, that rarely happens.
    At this point no one jumps out that could make that run,Fed and Raonic at Wimbledon, the only maybe’s

  • Dan Markowitz · December 28, 2013 at 7:04 pm

    Tsonga’s winning Aussie O in one month.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 29, 2013 at 8:31 am

    That’s the conventional thinking Harold, but we’re due for someone to shock the world. We’re due for a Guga, Chang, Johansson, Schiavone…

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 29, 2013 at 8:31 am

    Just can’t see Jo Willy doing it Dan. Be nice to see if you’re right.

  • Dan Markowitz · December 29, 2013 at 12:37 pm

    If you plays the way he did against Murray the other night–and I didn’t even see if he won the match, but I imagine he did–he’s going to be very hard to beat. Murray has such a creampuff second delivery sometimes. It’s a great testament to his retrieval ability that he can get away with that kind of a second-rate second serve.

    Tsonga hit one ace out wide on the deuce court against Murray that Andy swung at and missed by about five feet. It was awesome. And he displayed an uncanny ability to serve and volley. If Tsonga can speed through his service games and play Pete Sampras-like tennis where he knows he can just crack second serve returns and go for it on his return games because he’s holding very comfortable, he’ll give Nadal and Djoko a run for the title. Murray has no shot of winning the Aussie O the way he looked.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 29, 2013 at 3:14 pm

    Murray did not look like he was going all out Dan. Tsonga is definitely a threat despite how many times he’s falled short in the second week. BTW I was at the New York Rangers morning skate today in Tampa and I asked the two tennis fans on the team Henk Lundqvist and Dominic Moore who they’re picking to win Australia? Both paused about one second and replied, “Djokovic.”

  • Bryan · December 29, 2013 at 5:47 pm

    On the mens: Jerzy Janowicz. He has the mix of power and skills needed, the fire when focused, and was 2 matches away from doing it already at Wimbledon.

    On the women’s: Bojana Jovanovski. She’s doing better now that she toned down the aggression a bit. Instead of trying to smash every ball she’s been mixing it up a bit.

  • Dan Markowitz · December 29, 2013 at 6:41 pm

    Looks like Harry is doing well winning two quali matches in Brisbane, but DY got beat 4/1 to Thiem. Not a good sign as Thiem didn’t even play USO qualis last summer.

  • Doogie · December 29, 2013 at 8:15 pm

    No wonder Thiem did not play US Open Qualis – he did not enter directly and he did not want to fly to NY for nothing.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 29, 2013 at 9:08 pm

    I’m liking Thiem a lot, unconvetional training habits, out of the box. Keep your eye on this free thinker. Off to a good start.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 29, 2013 at 9:10 pm

    Jerzy is coming off shoulder surgery. Been out for months. Agree, he is a contender. He gave Murray a run in the Wimble SF last year, even better challenge then Murray got in the final. JJan showed he can handle the pressure.

  • Dan Markowitz · December 30, 2013 at 3:13 am

    Wow, a Michael Shabaz, the former No. 1 UVA player, sighting playing the Qualis Down Under. How does a guy ranked No. 444 get into an ATP qualis?

    What kind of shoulder surgery did Jerzy have, Scoop? That’s not a good sign when a 22 year old has joint surgery. That cannonball serve might suffer.

    I’ve never seen Thiem play, but he must be tough if he routined DY, not that DY’s Rod Laver.

  • Andrew Miller · December 30, 2013 at 11:37 am

    DY tends to under-prepare. Why he is so streaky.
    Harrison says he is on every ball last year was a fluke and that he sees himself top ten. He says doubt was why he was in the 100s.
    (Good luck !)

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 30, 2013 at 12:34 pm

    Jerzy played too much last year. It’s not serious I was told by a Polish coach. Last year was his first season full time on the tour.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 30, 2013 at 12:36 pm

    When a guy like Mats Wilander says Harrison is top five material, you know he’s talking about a special player. I like the confidence in Harrison’s quotes you mention Andrew. I think Harrison could storm back into the top 50 with a vengeance.

  • Dan markowitz · December 30, 2013 at 1:52 pm

    Harry’s got to take some reality pills. It’s good to be confident, but when you’re like #100 to say you can be Top 10 borders on delusional.

  • Andrew Miller · December 30, 2013 at 4:19 pm

    Will say this: Brisbane qualifying rounds weren’t impossible and Harrison succeeded where the other U.S. players didn’t. Got to beat who’s across the net to advance.

    – Klahn lost in 2nd rd qualifier
    – Rhyne Williams lost 2nd rd “”
    – Odesnik lost 1st rd “”
    – Kuznetsov lost 3rd rd “”

    Querrey beat Tursunov in main draw. Good start.

    Look out for Kokkinakis. He and Kyrgios seem to have a plan to join Tomic as team Australia. Ebden is playing good ball also.

    As for Doha, score was 6-4, 6-4 on the Thiem-DY match. That’s better than a 4/1 result but still a let-down for DY and another kudo for Thiem.

  • Andrew Miller · December 30, 2013 at 4:35 pm

    Harrison aims for top 50 initially but he wants top 10.

    “My M.O. coming up was I not going to fold and I was going to win a lot of matches in three sets and compete the hell out of people and turn matches around. The standard I want now is no points off, no points for granted, and have it be a complete battle all the time. I’m doing a long-term thinking process whether I win or lose or draw, I’m going to stay on the path to the Top 10. Ranking wise, the initial goal is to get back to the Top 50 and the see where it goes from there.”

  • Dan Markowitz · December 30, 2013 at 5:10 pm

    That’s more like it. I wish Harry well. He has talent there’s not doubt about that. I’d prefer he say something like, “I’m going to use my big serve and return to step into the court and take no prisoners.”

    And yes, I see that Thiem only won 4 and 4.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 30, 2013 at 7:15 pm

    Dan down on Harry almost maybe more so than he was down on Blake and Querrey. Don’t count out Harrison yet, but this first quarter is gonna be important for him.

  • Andrew Miller · December 30, 2013 at 9:06 pm

    Dan was pretty positive there. If Harrison does step in and take the ball on the rise like dan and scoop recommend top fifty can happen.

  • Andrew Miller · December 30, 2013 at 9:13 pm

    One other thing for Harrison is he likes the battle and another he says he messed up and is now ready to rumble. For u.s. tennis sake I hope he does step in and get across the service line and play for keeps. Tennis is a gladiator sport so this is all good.

  • Andrew Miller · December 31, 2013 at 12:59 pm

    Loss: 6-7, 6-7 to hard serving Sam Groth. Harrison needs to win that match.

    Thiem loses to a German gowolczyk . 0-6 in 2nd set. Maybe the tour really is anti young players.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 31, 2013 at 2:10 pm

    That is a bad loss for Harry and Thiem, who knows maybe they’re tired from qualies. That’s always a possibility. Kamiko Date Krumm, age 43, won her first rounder.

  • Dan Markowitz · December 31, 2013 at 2:38 pm

    You want to get back in the Top 50 and you lose to Groth. Groth who’s wife was a better player than he is and is ranked No. 175? Are you kidding me. It’s early, but it’s getting late for Harry. You know, I’m reading Rick Macci’s book–talk about a guy who loves tennis and what a tan!–and he said about Roddick, who he coached as a junior, if he only stepped into the court he would’ve won more slams.

    Harry’s got to stop playing this loopy defensive style of play and learn how to shorten points. The guy is not the second coming of Hewitt, and he plays like a junior still.

  • Scoop Malinowski · December 31, 2013 at 6:54 pm

    Groth beating Harry is like Karlovic beating T Berd. Big server having a great day. Big serving takes the racquet out of your hand. Big servers off to a big start so far this new year.

  • Andrew Miller · January 1, 2014 at 2:12 am

    Courts playing faster? Groth serve is massive. Harrison did say win lose draw he would play for keeps and stay focused. Crowd might have been pro Groth in Brisbane . agree on the Harrison game – the attitude is always a+ and the game doesn’t match the attitude yet. Could though.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 1, 2014 at 9:17 am

    YOu can’t just write off Groth as some kind of stiff. The guy has been out there battling for years now so he must be a good player. Everyone is dangerous. The stars align and all the sudden players like Groth break out. Look at this total unknown Gregorz Panfil who just beat Raonic. Ranked over 400, even I had never heard of him before or seen his name. A lot of dangerous players out there. Tough loss for Harry but it’s not time to bring out the shovels just yet.

  • Dan Markowitz · January 1, 2014 at 10:52 am

    No, I thought Groth would be off the tour by now, but he is what he is so far, a career Challenger player and Harry has lost to a lot of those of late. Do I have to say the name Daniel de la Munoz?

  • Dan Markowitz · January 1, 2014 at 10:56 am

    That is a shocker. I’ve never heard of the dude who beat Raonic. How about Mayer beating Murray 6-2 in the third!! Murray I think is in big sorryland. He is not looking good. Back surgery might be ticket out of the Top 3. And Q-ball is back to his disappointing ways, losing to Matosevic who’s a nice player but nothing more. Cilic beats GDim. Gimelstob did say he thought Cilic would be very motivated this year. Tough start for the Young Guns in ’14.

  • Andrew Miller · January 1, 2014 at 11:50 am

    Maybe the young players just aren’t as good as they need to be. Groth had been making later challenger rounds last year as a gatekeeper – if a player beat him they had a good shot at semis or finals of challengers. His serve is big. But I got to agree with dan because the rest of the groth game is not the same. If you get the serve back it is like 2001 karlovic just keep the ball in play and wait.

    Young players might not be improving enough. Players need to hit their best combos well and then add to their shots – a better backhand or serve or service return etc and of course do the new stuff in matches and win with it.

  • Andrew Miller · January 1, 2014 at 11:56 am

    Had to add this. Incredible Doha let a player past the 2000 ranking into the main draw. Sure he is from Qatar but zayed , with almost no wins in futures juniors or anything like it should never see a main draw unless he wins his qualifier matches. He is 19 and played monfils last year and Murray this year. If he works on it he could get top 1000 but main draw – wake up call for ATP which should not have let that happen. Makes the sport look dumb.

  • Andrew Miller · January 1, 2014 at 1:15 pm

    Germans doing good in Doha: Gojowczyk and D. Brown. Gojowczyk beat Thiem and his countryman Kohlschreiber. Brown doing well also.

    So far this year’s story is: better technique and strategy wins.

    For what it’s worth, here’s what Klahn said in September to Chris Hayes from “Tennis Nerds”. I have yet to see any other U.S. player honestly admit the issues in their games and how they are working on them. Usually it’s “I lost confidence” or “I just need to play my game” but rarely “Yeah I am working on my forehand, sharpening it up so I can stick it on the back line”. Who knows what Klahn will do when push comes to shove, but the below is good stuff.

    “My biggest focus when I started out last year was improving my serve and backhand, and I feel that although there is still plenty of work to be done in both areas, they have come a long way.”

    “This off-season, my biggest focus will be improving my strength and conditioning, as well as cleaning up my backhand and returns. This off-season will be crucial for me to establish my base for the upcoming year, and I am looking forward to tackling those challenges.”

    “I try to stay away from such specific ranking goals, but it would be a great accomplishment to gain direct acceptance for my first grand slam. In order to do that, however, I need to really focus on improving my consistency from point to point. If I take care of the little details, the rest will take care of itself.”

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 1, 2014 at 6:22 pm

    Brown is 2-0 now on the year, winning matches in ATP main draws is rare for him. Dan will be happy about this. He just beat Dr. Ivo today after Ivo beat Berdych. Brown could be headed to a career high ranking. Well done by the German Armada. Benjamin Becker won a round too but got wiped out by Stan the Man today.

  • Dan Markowitz · January 1, 2014 at 8:32 pm

    D Brown is without a doubt the most entertaining player to watch on tour bar none. In fact, there’s no one even in his league entertainment-wise. When he beat Hewitt at Wimby last year it was incredible tennis. For Brown to beat Ivo that’s quite a feather in his cap.

    When he beat Q-ball at Newport a few years back, it was like Sam was this white dull color and Dustin was this phosphorescent orange color. His game is just so much more fun to watch than a Querrey’s.

  • Andrew Miller · January 2, 2014 at 3:06 pm

    Marius Copil hits a nice one-hander. Big dude, seems like Wawrinka. January tournaments like Chennai thus far a breakout for players never heard of.

    Groth wins again.

    Gojowczyk beats D. Brown.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 2, 2014 at 4:13 pm

    Andrew we saw Copil play in the US Open qualies two years ago, I believe it was against Jimmy Wang. Dan was there too. Copil is a Romanian or Hungarian, big guy, looked really good. So many players like that out there, very impressive who haven’t been able to crack the top hundred or top 50. That’s tennis in this day and age, talent pool is just so deep now. I wonder if there is a study checking USTA junior tournaments figures, comparing the last five years to a five year window during the Agassi Sampras heyday. I would think the #s are a considerably up now. Tennis is just so deep and competitive.

  • Andrew Miller · January 2, 2014 at 5:26 pm

    Seems like a good player. Amazing time this big guy can put the ball on a dime. Saw a clip vs. Blake who outclassed him ( should appreciate Blake more at his best ) . maybe the rankings lie – this guy would do well on u.s. challenger circuit. You and Dan must’ve liked his game. Maybe he is a step slow for prime time.

  • Bryan · January 2, 2014 at 5:57 pm

    Thanks Scoop for the 411 on Jerzy. I’d forgotten about his shoulder surgery. Hope it’s minor as you suggest. A lot of players are never the same after shoulder surgery so it’s worrisome.

    Gulbis is another potential slam winner. He won Del Ray and St Petersburg in 2013 and when he gets hot can beat anyone. He lost to Nadal 5-7, 4-6 today at the Quatar open but it was a very winnable match. He kept blowing his first serve which cost him many points.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 2, 2014 at 6:52 pm

    Andrew we were both impressed by Copil and Jimmy Wang in that match. But that’s tennis, you see a great player on an outer court and sometimes you never see them again. Tennis is like a world marathon running race or a mass of salmon swimming upstream… so many contestants but only a select few get to the finish line first, the rest are all basically forgotten 🙂

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 2, 2014 at 6:56 pm

    Bryan, looks like Gulbis’ previous losses to Nadal have taken a toll on his belief. Rafa won in straight sets today. Gulbis landed his best shots and was in the winning position, I think he was just two or three points away from upsetting Rafa, even missed a simple forehand pass up the line, but he blew it. Those closes losses must’ve discouraged Gulbis and solidified Rafa’s mental edge — and played a part in the outcome today.

  • Dan Markowitz · January 2, 2014 at 7:15 pm

    Bryan,

    I don’t like Gulbis’ chances of making a semis in a slam. Yes, when he’s absolutely t’ing, he could win a slam, but he’s not a thinking man’s player and his mind and his forehand are two reasons he’d have an extraordinary time putting together 7 wins against the best players. He’s a great Delray Beach, St. Petersburg player.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 3, 2014 at 9:59 am

    Gulbis can’t get it done at the uppermost level. He was oh so very close to Nadal but he came up short. He gave it a gallant effort but I don’t see him figuring out the Rafa puzzle on any surface.

1 2

<<

>>

Find it!

Copyright 2010
Tennis-Prose.com
To top