Tennis Prose




Jan/20

23

Coco vs Osaka AO Analysis

The most intriguing match at the Australian Open third round will be Naomi Osaka vs Coco Gauff showdown rematch.

The two Florida-based prodigies have played once before – at US Open last summer – with the older Osaka prevailing 63 60.

There are many interesting angles about this match up.

The two are dear friends and almost like sisters, off the court at least. Everybody remembers Osaka approaching Gauff at her chair on Ashe after their match, consoling and inviting her little sister to accompany her at the post match interview on court. Gauff surely was touched by the kind-hearted gesture by Osaka.

But business is business and there are no friends on the court.

So it will be interesting to see if Coco plays today against Osaka with the same fist pumping, in your face staredowns, CMON roaring intensity that she employed in her first two wins in Melbourne against Venus and Cirstea.

Or will Gauff subdue her emotional adrenaline and antagonistic aggressions to her big sister? And if she does, how will that impact her performance?

More likely, Gauff’s fierce competitive nature and vicious will to win will take over and she may fist pump and yell at Osaka straight to her face. If that happens, how will Osaka respond?

Coco being passive will not be enough to slay Osaka. It was not enough to slay Cirstea. Coco won the match vs Cirstea because she summoned her beast mode, emotional adrenaline power source. She will need that and even more vs Osaka, the AO defending champion.

The big question is, will Gauff show that aggressive, confrontational, antagonistic demeanor to Osaka or will she supress her greatest weapon?

And if things do get heated and Coco does go all out beast mode vs Osaka, as she did vs Cirstea, how will the quirky Japanese woman handle such a complicated situation?

· · ·

217 comments

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 1:18 pm

    Diligence d. Inspiration. Osaka subduing everyone.

  • Jon King · January 23, 2020 at 1:38 pm

    When I think of beast mode I think of young Serena stepping to the line and ending a game with 4 straight aces, or Larry Bird hitting a bunch of threes in a row and saying to everyone else “okay, who here is going to finish 2nd?”….because he knew he was going to finish 1st.

    Gauff’s is more of a cub mode….like when your 4 year old nephew tries to fight and you can hold him at arm’s length with your hand on his head. How cute.

    Call me Co Co can yell all she wants but has no scary weapons to truly intimidate anyone. Cristea started playing cautious, playing not to lose, and it cost her the match. It has happened in every sport since the beginning of sports….football teams in a prevent defense, basketball teams trying to run out the clock and instead losing a big lead.

    Sorry, Gauff is a nice player, but nothing special, just one of 30-40 who can challenge for a match on their good days.

    Kenin is a fighter, just not a yeller. Bellis is a stone cold analytical killer. Serena and Osaka can dismantle anyone when they are on…with actual weapons. Giorgi can hit people off the court in her beast mode. Halep can pick them apart in hers. And many others can enter the zone or mode or whatever in various ways.

    In fact having to resort to yelling and staring seems more like trying to overcompensate for a small weapons package.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 1:47 pm

    Bellis d. Muchova. Enough said 🙂 For anyone that hasn’t seen Muchova, I’m sorry – she is lovely to watch. Bellis was indeed the cold-hearted villain here.

  • Jon King · January 23, 2020 at 1:57 pm

    Bellis lived in a dorm for a few summers at Evert’s academy when USTA high performance was there. Our friend was the dorm mother. Little skinny 12 year old Ci Ci Bellis would tell anyone who would listen that she was going to be #1 in the world. Very confident kid even though everyone towered over her back then.

  • catherine · January 23, 2020 at 2:32 pm

    Can’t stand all this screaming and yelling. Coco didn’t need any of it to beat Cirstea, who would otherwise have most likely passed out of the tournament without any fuss and bother. Jon’s right. Also I suspect Coco’s been told to play act like that to get attention and wind up the crowd for TV.

    Naomi should just let Miss Tantrum self-destruct.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 6:35 pm

    Jon, Coco’s big weapon is very solid and consistent with every shot and when it’s the key juncture of the tight match, she raises her level and ferocity and gets the job done. She is an unbelievable fighter, she is a girl possessed with being the best and she believes she will be the best. That is intimidating. Cirstea was psyched out, outsmarted and outplayed at the end when she is the one who with her 440 match wins, should have been able to subdue Coco. But Coco is a tornado and you can’t stop a tornado, you just have to hope and pray you survive a tornado. Her roaring and yelling and shouting CMON reflects how tough and fierce she is. That’s scary. And awesome. I give her a 40-60 shot at upsetting Osaka. Yep.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 7:33 pm

    Not taking the bait. Diligence d. Inspiration. Always has, always will.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 7:36 pm

    If you think Coco is all bark and no bite, you may be in for a colossal surprise.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 7:38 pm

    Andrew, except when Lleyton Hewitt ruled the tennis world. Well, there are a lot of exceptions. 17 year old Rafa beating Fed in Miami 63 63. That’s enough. Inspiration often beats diligence.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 7:54 pm

    Hewitt was outstanding technically and prepared maniacally, and so too Nadal, possibly the most disciplined player in tennis history.

    Scoop, ya prove my case. Thanks!

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 7:59 pm

    Please, don’t cheer taunting. It’s as bad for WTA players as ATP players, and was the worst thing Roddick did in his career. I’m sorry people see otherwise. I don’t like when any player does it. I consider it the equivalent of a MTO for no reason.

    It’s bad form no matter what tour. No one should celebrate it, it’s not an example to hold in regard. Medvedev’s mean streak where he goes after officials is also bad behavior. Nadal’s gamesmanship spoils an otherwise spotless reputation.

    You can have a player you like who also does something that’s wrong for them, others, and the sport. They are humans and celebrate the good, criticize the not so good.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 8:31 pm

    Sometimes you have to get down and dirty and dig down deep in tennis. It’s war. Tracy Austin called it “tennis is a fist fight without the fists.” Coco naturally understands emotional adrenaline is a power source. She smartly uses it. Tennis is not all grace and elegance, it’s violence and life and death too. There is a t shirt “Tennis is not life and death…it’s more than that.” Seems silly but maybe it’s reality. Mats Wilander said the moment a top player stops treating his/her matches like life and death they will go down the rankings. Coco is a warrior, a girl on a mission. She is not Sam Querrey or Richard Gasquet or Julia Goerges. Coco will look you in the eye and say, Bring it on. She is not hear to be just another pro player. She’s hear to dominate the sport. No hidden agendas.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 8:36 pm

    Please don’t boo taunting. Coco has to do what she has to do. She believes she is the best. She has to break each opponent mentally and then physically. A champion boxer told me once you break them mentally, it becomes easier to do it physically. Yelling and roaring CMONNN!! to an opponent, is not necessarily a taunt, it’s also good sportsmanship, telling the opponent, Hey if you want to have a chance to beat me you will have to bring more than that. So Coco’s CMONNNS are also inspiring the opponent to play better. 🙂

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 8:37 pm

    Really hoping Qiang Wang does not tank this match to Serena, US Open looked like a blatant tank job by Wang.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 8:48 pm

    Wow. Not taking this bait. I’ve seen this argument repeatedly now and it’s fluff. I hope the kid doesn’t get hurt too badly growing up in the spotlight, and I certainly hope standards for tennis conduct get back to basics. The umpeenth edition of the rise of the great teenagers is making a lot of adults say far too much when there’s not much to go on.

    I’ll leave it at the USA is desperate for another slam champion before we discard them and move on to the next greatest thing out there. I’m glad Bellis got a time out from the circus as it’s nice to see a player, up against another sound tactician, beat them at their own game. That’s the greatest hat tip, to respect your opponent game so much that you dedicate all of your effort and focus to executing a few strategies and improvising from there.

    I wish this kind of wisdom Bellis showed to all players, including Coco.

    I’m a little worried seeing many on the board put down past players as fools etc, using other words. That doesn’t really match up with their legacies on tour. I’d really guard against hype also and making far too much of a match or two. I could say Raonic will win the tournament based on his last two matches (and would love it). But the facts don’t line up real well there. And they don’t here, either.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 8:55 pm

    If I can’t critique the blatant taunting, unless it’s standard misunderstanding, then I’d really have to critique the kid for her crying after last year’s Osaka match. I won’t.

    Nadal was crying when he lost the Wimbledon final in 2007 to Federer at age 21. Uncle Toni was there and said stop crying, there are many things to cry about but not losing the Wimbledon final. Nadal feared he’d never win one, but Uncle Toni was trying to make a point – that it wasn’t that important, that making the final was a huge deal. That he’d put himself in position to try again, and maybe do better.

    So I’ll leave that there. I miss the Old School of Uncle Toni and Lansdorp etc. It’s given way to Twitter hating and lots of pouting.

    And tennis isn’t war. It’s a sport. A pretty silly one, too. But fun.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 23, 2020 at 10:46 pm

    Wang was ready to KO Serena but got scared at the end of second set. Lost that fire in her eyes. Fear of success. Serena summoned her snarling beast mode.

  • Jeff · January 23, 2020 at 10:51 pm

    I am a little surprised that outside of Scoop that Coco has turned into a villain on this site. I agree she hasn’t won the big ones yet but look at what she is doing at this age. It is an amazing story and worthy of all the attention and she has a bright future.

    It is like watching Zion Williams make his debut last night, he made 4 3-pointers like it was nothing and coming off injury. Coco is of the same mold as a prodigy. We need to appreciate what we are seeing. Surely she will give Naomi a better match this time.

  • Dan Markowitz · January 23, 2020 at 11:19 pm

    Its Zion Williamson Jeff, and don’t compare Coco to Zion. He’s a force of nature; she’s a very good precocious player, but she’s not awe-inspiring the way Zion is. How about Serena having this rough and tumble match as I write this with Wang. I thought either Serena or Osaka would win this title, now Serena could be gone and way before a finals of a slam.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 11:21 pm

    Wang and Serena Williams in a battle royale. Yikes! Jabeur sends Wozniaki into the sunset. Jabeur is also awesome to watch.

    Fucsovics d(ismisses) Tommy Paul in three sets. What a tournament for Fucsovics, and sorry to see T. Paul exit the singles draw. He did well.

  • Andrew Miller · January 23, 2020 at 11:35 pm

    Wang d. Serena Williams. Wow. Well, Scoop called it, indeed way more competitive than the US Open. That breaks open the tournament. Serena’s 24th slam win will remain elusive.

  • Hartt · January 23, 2020 at 11:42 pm

    Wang won! That was quite the match, with a shocking result. I kept expecting Serena to prevail, despite how well Q played.

  • Jon King · January 23, 2020 at 11:58 pm

    This is where the Gauff stuff gets silly, when used in the same sentence as Zion Williamson.

    Zion is a freak of nature, like LeBron was. Zion is 280 lbs and can still move quicker than most and jump higher than all. Like Serena at age 20 was 30-40 lbs heavier than every opponent while still being as fast…a freak.

    Gauff has no such advantage. She is not that tall, not that big. Not going to get 15 aces a match, not going to overpower anyone. Many opponents will have a physical advantage on her, the exact opposite of Zion.

    She looked exactly the same at age 12.5 when we saw her. She matured physically very early. But she is not to be compared to young Serena, Zion, LeBron who all were absolute physical mismatches for opponents.

  • Jeff · January 24, 2020 at 12:08 am

    The point isn’t that Gauff is like Zion in terms of size but in terms of being a child prodigy. What she is doing at this age is amazing, that is all I am saying. I think it is a good comparison since both are future torch bearers for their sports.

    I think Serena will get it done in Wimbledon. She has to get there eventually. As for this match, she was outplayed.

    Paul definitely disappointed. He was not even there the first two sets, looked like he was out drinking or something. He played better in the third but it was too late.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 12:37 am

    Sakkari d. Keys. Wow. So many upsets!!!

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 12:42 am

    I’m not betting Serena gets it done at Wimbledon. She hasn’t the past couple of years and W’don is probably the most stress.

    As for Gauff, I’m not that bothered whether she’s the GOAT or a blow out but what I really puts me off is the stuff about savagery and bashing and snarling and beast etc etc because it’s unpleasant and somehow wrong for a 15 year old playing a game. She’s a talented teenager not a grotesque cage fighter.

    Enough. I’ll repeat what I said earlier – if Naomi loses Fisette is the wrong coach for her.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 12:47 am

    Sakkari is promising. She has Stefanos to inspire her 🙂

    Wang deserved to win. There are quite a few women capable of producing upsets. They just don’t get the same publicity as the nextgen men. or whatever they’re called now.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 12:49 am

    Jeff – it’s not really Coco who’s the villian. It’s her handlers.

  • Hartt · January 24, 2020 at 12:51 am

    In a Tennis Podcast “poll vault” I voted for a Sakkari win. Madison has never learned to really play tennis, it’s not just about pounding the ball. She had 40 UFEs to 17 winners. Sadly, for Maddie fans, that is not uncommon. Because she can’t, or won’t, change her approach, I gave up on her a long time ago. When she is “on” she can beat anyone, but how often is a player at his or her absolute best? Successful players talk about finding ways to win when they aren’t at their best. Keys is 24 now, so if she hasn’t learned that lesson yet it is unlikely that she is going to.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 12:55 am

    Yes, talented and precocious teenage tennis player. A mighty good one.

    I have said it before and will say it again. There’s something messed up about today’s media age. I guess there’s just too much money on the line and every player is a brand. I’ll never get used to this.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 12:56 am

    Maybe Yastremska is Keys 2.0. She has the same lethal ground game but when things aren’t perfect comes undone.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 1:00 am

    Agreed. Handlers, agents, etc. Not sure why the Gauffs are up for that, but could be that there’s a lot riding on every match. Sponsor money maybe, that’s my guess. Maybe clauses in her contract kick on.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 1:01 am

    So farewell then Caroline. I hope LFC wins the League for her. She’ll never walk alone 🙂

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 2:34 am

    Riske bts Georges – 45 UEs from Julia. She hasn’t looked good for a while.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 4:57 am

    Gauff in SS in just over an hour – very poor from Osaka. As I said, Fisette is not the right coach for her.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 5:07 am

    30 UE’s from Osaka and many other misjudgements. Even Cirstea took a set from Gauff. Did Naomi underestimate Coco ? Or did her coach and team become a little complacent I wonder ? A tough post-mortem is require. Not saying Coco might not have won but that was pretty bad from Naomi – too many distractions maybe. I bet Wim will have plenty of excuses.

  • Hartt · January 24, 2020 at 6:04 am

    Milos beat Stefanos in SS! He was great. His serve was firing, with 19 aces (pretty usual, he normally makes 5-6 aces per set), and a ton of unreturnables. His FH was very effective, with both the inside-in and the inside-out. He volleyed well, and even his ROS was very good. 🙂

    Milos will face Cilic next.

    This is how Milos can play when he isn’t injured. I hope he can manage to stay injury-free for the next few months.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 6:34 am

    Hartt – Very good from Milos. I know you’ve followed him through thick and thin and your loyalty has been rewarded. As you say, as long as he stays uninjured…..

  • Dan Markowitz · January 24, 2020 at 7:10 am

    Geez, I’m in Costa Rica not watching any of the matches, but I’d have to say all you Gauff-haters have to tip your caps to the teen. You can make up all the excuses you want, for Gauff to beat Osaka so decisively after what happened at the USO only 5 months ago is shocking. Clearly what Gauff is doing and her ability to beat top 10 players at this age is extraordinary. Even Serena came out before the match and said she wasn’t nearly as good as Gauff at 15. I’d say stop picking on this girl’s forehand and her aggressive attitude and give her some love.

  • Hartt · January 24, 2020 at 7:18 am

    Catherine, I nearly gave up on Milos a couple times over the last 2 years, so it was a pleasure watching him playing so well.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 7:28 am

    And Gauff d. Osaka. Scoop right again. Wow. I’m dumbfounded. What am I missing here?! I thought Osaka’s familiarity and precision and power game would hit through the Gauff game and here I am, utterly wrong. Well, I still believe the kid has issues in the game and the hype has been bad. But the result is indisputable and this is a results first who cares about anything else kind of sport.

    Yeah, my bad. Totally and utterly missed that this was possible.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 7:32 am

    Dan, Scoop was right about the Gauff ability to compete. I hate the hype, but like the kid and hope she does well.

    So mean culpa. My bad. Gauff indeed does have the will to compete and that makes up for whatever shortcomings in her game and is a good lesson for anyone.

    Yeah I’m flat wrong. I thought the Gauff game could best Cirstea down the stretch but thought hey, good win. But it wasn’t about the Gauff game at all. It was about the Gauff playing the Gauff game. And I missed that.

    Still dislike the hype. And now that will be times a million.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 7:34 am

    Whenever Serena loses now she always says something to take away from her opponent. This time it was how ‘unprofessionally’ she’d played v Wang. She did it about her last two Wimbledon losses too, saying they ‘didn’t count’, which I’m sure pleased Simona and Angie. It’s not generous and it’s not even true. I watched the last parts of this match and Serena was really puffing, not looking too good.

    I’d be very surprised if she wins another major tournament.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 7:35 am

    Thought Raonic would do this 🙂 Two Australian Opens in a row he takes out the ATP finals champ – last year Zverev, this year Tsitsipas. Underestimate Raonic competitiveness, it’s upper level. Just that he gets hurt and when he’s hurt he’s back in comeback mode again. So enjoy it!

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 7:37 am

    Most players want to feel in control or feel there’s something they could have done.

  • Andrew Miller · January 24, 2020 at 7:42 am

    And I’m wrong about Osaka, too. I don’t mind admitting it, the results speak for themselves. They show Gauff performs brilliantly on the biggest stages and ups her level, and that her opponents are not used to being challenged or to the crowd being against them.

    Definitely something for Osaka to think about, and we shall see what Gauff has left in the tank! Probably quite a lot this tournament alone. I thought she’d be spent but she was revved up and ready to go. Bravo Gauff.

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 7:43 am

    Andrew – not taking away from Gauff, who made the most of it, but Naomi was awful. Just don’t understand what’s happening.
    In that match she looked like a player any Top 20 could beat. Didn’t play with confidence or aggression or obvious belief in herself at all.

    Maybe the past Osaka hype has got to her finally.

  • Hartt · January 24, 2020 at 7:47 am

    Andrew, you’ve said positive things about Milos, and you were right.

    Among other things, Milos was good at the net today. From the ATP site: “He was untouchable on serve, firing 19 aces, winning 88 per cent of first-serve points, 58 per cent of second-serve points and never facing a break point. Raonic clubbed 55 winners to the Greek’s 23 and won 70 per cent of his 41 net approaches.”

  • catherine · January 24, 2020 at 7:48 am

    Gauff played well yes, but I wouldn’t crown her champion just yet. There’s a few players left in the draw who might do a lot better than Osaka. So we’ll see.

    Naomi showed mental fragility. I’m not sure Fisette’s good at that.

  • Scoop Malinowski · January 24, 2020 at 8:03 am

    Does Fucsovics think he’s Marat Safin 2005 AO version or something? He looks unbeatable.

1 2 3 5

<<

>>

Find it!

Copyright 2010
Tennis-Prose.com
To top