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Will Querrey be the Spark which Ignites US Tennis?

AEGON Championships - Day FiveThe Sam Querrey upset of ATP World no 1 and defending Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic last week sent major shockwaves through the tennis universe. It was arguably the biggest surprise upset in the history of Grand Slam tennis. Querrey had lost first round at Queens to Agut 76 in the third and had recently endured losing first round three events in a row on red clay. Even at his most confident top form Querrey is still the kind of “soft” player that nobody would predict could beat a mighty player like Djokovic. But yet it happened – Querrey did slay the Djokovic Dragon in London and he did it with incredible tennis. A monster win like this will shift the balance of power in the ATP in that now every single player in the ATP now believes he is capable of getting hot and playing incredible tennis – just like Sam Querrey. Especially benefitting will be the players who have played against Sam this year. Reilly Opelka lost to Querrey in Houston in a close match 46 67. Teenager Opelka has to now believe that despite his lower ranking and inexperience he is pretty darn close to Querrey’s level. Taylor Fritz lost to Querrey in Acapulco 64 in the third. For sure Fritz knows with a few refinements and improvements he too can soon beat Querrey and Djokovic. Bjorn Fratangelo beat Querrey in four sets at Roland Garros. For sure Fratangelo will begin to score big results this year because he beat the guy who beat Djokovic (Fratangelo also won a set off Djokovic at Indian Wells earlier this year). This is how the tennis food chain works – confidence and belief are the lifeblood of the pro tennis player. Confidence and belief derive from winning results. Confidence and self belief are the elements which make and break tennis careers. I confidently predict the Querrey upset of Djokovic will be a monolith turning point in American tennis – and very soon we will see plenty more big results which will have been inspired and provoked by Sam Querrey. – Scoop Malinowski

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30 comments

  • Andrew Miller · July 8, 2016 at 10:54 am

    Scoop – is it confidence/belief, or jealousy? I mean, I think we have to go a little deeper here into the player psyche.

    Start with McEnroe and Connors. Connors beats McEnroe first time they face off, huge contest at Wimbledon. Sends a message, probably one that McEnroe never forgot. Rest is history. Was that an “I can do this too!” moment, or was it really, “I’m not going to settle for this!” moment. I think it’s the latter.

    1989. Emerging big names in U.S. tennis come on the scene. Agassi, Krickstein etc. But Chang strikes first with a French Open epic slam win. Why? I think Chang didn’t want to be shown up. And then Sampras wins in 1990. Why? Doesn’t want to be shown up.

    Fast forward. Lloyd Carroll calls Mardy Fish a “journeyman”. Even though Mardy was playing good ball for the most part, what was it about calling Fish what he was that got to him? Seems that that, more than any diet, fired Fish up.

    Then in 2014. Klahn is #67, only Isner and Klahn are in the top 70, and journalists are saying, players, you guys stink. All of the sudden by the end of 2014 there are five U.S. players in the top 60. And not one is named Klahn.

    Between 2014 and 2016, U.S. players get tons of career moments. Isner comes back from getting smacked around in an embarrassing Davis Cup loss in the United Kingdom to get to another Masters final, serving huge. Sock gets a title in 2015 and finals in a few other small tournaments. Johnson gets his first title in 2016. Querrey gets his first title in a while THEN QUARTERFINALS at a slam.

    I think it’s one-upsmanship all the way around. Kozlov gets to a challenger final and all of the sudden other juniors are like, WHAT? Suddenly a guy like Fritz comes along. Harrison, considered a mentor of sorts to generation who knows if they’ll be next, proposes to his tennis-playing girlfriend. Then Fritz one-ups his elder, proposing to fellow U.S. junior in Paris no less.

    I think the inter-team competition is the most important. Look at what Isner says when he talks about U.S. tennis.

    Isner said this. When asked about the overall state of U.S. mens tennis, he basically says, all well and good, “BUT I’M HERE FOR ME.” Well, guess what. That’s the only way U.S. mens players do well. They need pressure from other U.S. players – so Isner wasn’t saying, “and I could care less about the U.S. team” – he was saying this: “I’m the best U.S. player and I show this by doing well at this tournament. The heck with the rest of the guys, it’s up to them to take me out.”

    To me, that’s the heart of this U.S. beast. One player needs to be jealous of another and plot to do well. If the players look around and say, well, that guy he’s only #60, and he only got first round, I got second round at this slam, best performance and ETC ETC – well that lets them believe that second round is fine.

    Querrey just showed THERE ARE NO POINTS FOR SECOND PLACE. Now they have something to prove.

    Should be a fun summer for U.S. mens tennis.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 8, 2016 at 12:13 pm

    Andrew: Not sure if jealousy is a word any player will confess to but you could be right and envy/jealousy is a driving factor – One player has and the other players want that too – and they feel they deserve – but in the tennis lexicon no player will publicly admit to jealousy just like no player will use the word “revenge” publicly – I recall when Djokovic was asked if a certain win was based on revenge for losing to that player earlier and he said no because revenge is a negative feeling – But I think that’s just PC corporate nice talk for the fans – I think jealousy envy and revenge are very powerful and useful emotions in tennis and all sports – good point on Chang’s Roland Garros win being a spark to an era – there is no doubt that magical win shaped the future – who really knows if Chang had lost in the fourth round or quarters how the careers of Pete Andre and Courier would have turned out – Who really knows for sure?

  • Andrew Miller · July 8, 2016 at 1:02 pm

    Scoop, yes I think players keep this stuff close to the vest. But I think they have it for sure.

    I do think there is a complacency in U.S. tennis that only changes when the bar for performance gets upped by one of them and can’t be explained any other way than “that guy out-hustled me and I know it.”

    I think a lot of players have looked at Isner, a lot of U.S. players, and said, “well, he’s what, 6’9”, he has a super-sonic serve, and the other top ten guys, well, those guys are just super-human”. But when Querrey – who also has a huge serve but a lower profile – does well like this, suddenly they can’t rest on those comfortable statements any more.

    It’s one thing when Djokovic wins another title. But when the guy you practice with now leaps ahead of you, I think two things can happen.

    1. Denial. The players look around and say, well that was a fluke. Got lucky. Anything can happen. I’m still doing fine, I’m sure I’ll have my chance too. Any day now.

    or

    2. Wow, this isn’t good enough. I’ll accept reality. I’m going to add a session every day. Start running. Do the gluten free thing. Hire a spanish coach to train differently. Play some extra sets per day. Work on that kick serve and perfect it for the hard court season.

    I think based on the past, most guys opt for #1 – which is, “I’m doing fine”. They will do that and watch their rankings slip.

    But, given how many “pretty good” U.S. mens players there are today, I think a bunch of them will go with option #2. I think a few juniors will go hunting for Fritz and say “well, if Zverev and Fritz are doing well, I should be too and I will make my mark, get some strength training, run more, do more court drills” – whatever, hire a guy who’s “been there” etc. Or Steve Johnson will say, “fourth round of a slam is nice, I did well, but I’m still hungry.” Or Sock, or DY, or someone else who thinks, well, Querrey did it.

  • Dan Markowitz · July 8, 2016 at 1:07 pm

    There’s an effect, the rivalry of players of the same era from the same country, but you cannot be serious when you infer that if Chang hadn’t won RG first, Sampras and Agassi might not have had multi-slam title totals. The reality is Sampras and Agassi were a lot better than Chang. That’s why they won many more majors than Chang, not because Chang spurred them on.

    If that were the case how come other Aussies didn’t win slams during the Hewitt Era or other Brits win slams during Murray’s run?

  • Andrew Miller · July 8, 2016 at 1:09 pm

    Scoop, fine, substitute “competitive pressure” for “jealousy”, I think they are cousins in the dictionary. Point is, few things get to the U.S. mens players. If they were coached say by Bill Parcells, or Coach K. from Duke, remarks like “journeyman” would stick and these guys would up their games.

    You guys know I’ve been happy about the U.S. mens players getting themselves out of the doldrums of early 2014 – that was the lowest point in U.S. mens tennis. The fact is they are no longer a joke. But that “state” is not good enough – it should be a lauchpad for players to go for the top tiers – top 20, maybe top 15, top 10.

    I think Courier believes this too, I think he knows from being a champion himself that these guys need something to light a fire under themselves. I think Pat McEnroe saw it coming, I think he sometimes got the best out of his guys. But I haven’t seen folks launch themselves out of their rut like Spadea.

    Maybe Steve Johnson’s comeback has been under-rated, he was having a dog of a year. Querrey’s is certainly a special point. Isner’s shot back to relevance a few times. DY too in his own way, cracking top 50 before going back in time again.

    But I think the Querrey quarterfinal slam is important because U.S. players below him or slightly above like Sock, Johnson, now know that he has something in his war chest that they don’t have, and they know it. And their coaches can tell them, “well, Querrey has a slam quarter, where’s yours?”

    Or their teams can rag on them to motivate them. NOTHING lights a fire for these guys more than seeing their fellow u.s. players out-hustling them, out-playing them.

  • Andrew Miller · July 8, 2016 at 1:13 pm

    Dan, that’s true for sure. I think Chang “whet their appetite”. As for Hewitt, I think he was motivated to match Pat Rafter, so it was Rafter with the X on his back.

    As for Murray I think he’s more part of the same Euro group, training in Spain, seeing guys like Nadal, Gasquet around him, and looking at them as his competition. Basically he gave up on the UK on everything except their training facilities. So he’s more like Federer and considered his peer group to be the Europeans.

    I think Zverev is the same boat, he cares about being #1 among the other European players. His perspective has probably changed too with his big wins against big players, he probably is realizing he’s in a class of his own.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 8, 2016 at 2:18 pm

    Dan, Chang was better first. Why didn’t Pete, Andre or Courier win their first majors before Chang? Because they weren’t good enough yet and they didn’t believe they could. Chang was better first. Chang opened the door. Chang led the way. General Chang sparked a revolution 🙂 Hewitt was a different animal. Philippoussis just didn’t have the dedication and commitment to being great that is required. I can’t even think of any younger Aussies who could have followed Hewitt’s footsteps. It was a very very poor era of Aussie tennis post Hewitt and actually during Hewitt. Too bad Rafter’s back gave out and he retired rather prematurely at I believe 29.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 8, 2016 at 2:25 pm

    And Andrew, Sam is the perfect guy to be the inspiration. Kind of laid back goofy California cool guy who I’m pretty sure was considered “soft” by a lot of the other ATP players. But now we know Sam wasn’t soft. He looked soft and acted soft but whoa he sure does carry that big stick and he showed it to Djokovic and the world. You know who was considered soft? Gaston Gaudio. I remember Patrick McEnroe say that on an ESPN telecast way back when. Always remember that because TV commentators rarely call or label a player as soft. But Gaudio had the “soft” label. Then a few years later he won Roland Garros and showed he was the hardest hard-ass in the business for those two weeks. So players who thought they were soft or didn’t have it can now look at Sam and say, hey Sam did it, so can I. If Isner did it last week then it was because, like you said, he served great. But Sam did it and now all the young Americans have to believe they can do. And I reckon they all do believe now. Gonna be an interesting rest of 2016. Thanks to Sam Querrey.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 8, 2016 at 2:28 pm

    I think Hewitt was just a super freak of a player, a one in a billion type player. The perfect player really. Such a super talent but also an incredible let me repeat INCREDIBLE FIGHTER. He owned the sport for two years. He sparked Federer to be great. Federer even admits this. Hewitt made Federer great. Hewitt inspired and made Rafa great. Hewitt is absolutely one of the most amazing champions this sport as ever witnessed and I feel his greatness and importance in history is under-rated and under-appreciated.

  • Andrew Miller · July 8, 2016 at 2:32 pm

    Yes Scoop, that it was Sam Querrey matters. Us men’s players would write off Isner and say well I can’t serve 140s and be 6’9″. But Querrey they saw well now I have no excuse.

    They know their legacy rides on making noise at a slam or winning a Masters. Querrey upped the stakes. No u.s. men’s player can ignore it – he played a classically u.s. Serve and smash em style and it worked. And that is the u.s. Game. And their coaches should tell them every practice just like Doc Fischer said to Sampras. You guys got to match the Querrey quarters or better. One off tournaments aren’t enough.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 8, 2016 at 2:59 pm

    And Sam could have beaten Raonic. He played four tough close sets with Raonic. He just came up short. But Raonic had been to a major semi before and had the experience edge. Sam could have won that match with a slightly different mental approach. Very close match. Now Raonic beats Fed in five. Sam could have done the same – if he had a slightly different mental approach and attitude. Wish Courier or some other feisty tenacious player could instill that ingredient into Sam’s mental infrastructure. Todd Martin added it to his mental infrastructure and he beat Moya from two sets down at US Open.

  • Andrew Miller · July 8, 2016 at 2:59 pm

    Thought Raonic would get the final. He did.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 8, 2016 at 3:03 pm

    By the way, I wrote this about Milos in February this year. It’s coming true now. https://www.tennis-prose.com/bios/opinion-how-raonic-can-become-king-milos/

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 12:43 pm

    Serena got slam#23. Amazing, she is the best player of all time, not even a debate to me. Nice to see Kerber step it up and be a worthy #2. Like that Kerber now has the champion mentality.

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 12:48 pm

    Yeah Raonic might get Murray tomorrow, bag a slam. For as awesome Djokpcic has been, during his reign more non big four guys have gotten slams than in the previous decade. Maybe it is unfair to count Wawrinka, and say well that leaves Cilic and Del Potro. Depends on how we look at it. Could argue well, only a big three with 44 slams between them, then Murray, Wawrinka, Delpo and Cilic combine for five slams total.

    That’s why Murray mist win, legacy. Put some distance between him and wawribka.

  • catherine bell · July 9, 2016 at 12:56 pm

    Andrew – Serena didn’t get Slam 23 – she’s equalled Steffi’s record at 22. We’re getting ahead of ourselves 🙂

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 2:56 pm

    Catherine my bad. 22 slams. Serena is the most accomplished player on tour today, maybe ever. Including the men’s game, inmho.

  • Dan Markowitz · July 9, 2016 at 4:32 pm

    You can’t be serious, Andrew. If the Missile wins one set tomorrow that’ll be a surprise. He hasn’t really faced a tough opponent the whole tournament as Fed wasn’t moving real well in the semis. And Goffin couldn’t close deal in Rd of 16. Andy will toy with Milos.

  • Gaurang · July 9, 2016 at 6:24 pm

    Yes I think Querrey will be an inspiration. Another thing that inspires is a climb up the ranking. Querrey is still in the 20’s. If one of Querrey, Johnson or Sock gets into the top 20, it will motivate the others to do the same.

    And yes, i agree Andrew that Isner is an inspiration but players might just be saying “oh he is 6′ 9′. So its expected”!

  • Gaurang · July 9, 2016 at 6:25 pm

    I think Murray is the favorite in the final though. As a Djokovic fan, I dont want want any up and comers to become Grand Slam contenders. So I want Murray to win 🙂

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 7:04 pm

    Gaurang, exactly, that’s what i think – I think Isner’s peers could look at him and say, well, he’s 6’9”, therefore I can’t expect (to do x, y, z, achieve at his level, etc). But I think Querrey, who’s I think they feel they can relate to better (even if he’s won ATP titles on all surfaces), it changes it all up. Now they have no excuses – they either match his legacy, one-up him, doing something special like with a Masters title, or go home, sorry to say it, empty handed in terms of their time on tour.

    Dan, I think Raonic is flying high with the Federer win. He has none other than your hero Johnny Mac, maybe the most talented player ever to play the sport, in his ear. He’s had a career year. He has the feeling he has to avenge his Australian semifinal loss. Why wouldn’t he believe he has a shot?

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 8:01 pm

    A quote from Raonic (from Tignor’s article on tennis dot com). Something I think Raonic probably should have kept to himself. Wonder if Federer will respond to this, double down for the US Open. On the one hand, it’s a statement of fact. But on the other hand, it’s oneupsmanship. It’s like calling Federer a journeyman. Federer has a long memory, even if his playing has been fading for a few years now and he doesn’t have that “fifth” gear for long enough in his matches.

    “‘You’re playing who Roger is today,” Raonic said, “not who he’s been the past few years.”

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 8:02 pm

    However, if Raonic isn’t thinking off the court on how to wear down Federer, his coaches aren’t doing their job. I wonder if they said that, guys like Moya and McEnroe, saying Raonic, listen – Federer’s great but he’s not the same player. You can beat him by wearing him out.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 9, 2016 at 8:09 pm

    Guys: Isner is six foot TEN – Raonic could win tomorrow – he played Andy to three sets in Queens final – so he is close – if he can handle the pressure and nerves of being in his first GS final and make a few revisions and adjustments via the mind of his new super coach he can do to Andy what he did to Fed who was moving very well and defending very well in his last two five setters (not buying this phantom back injury) – I think it’s entirely possible Raonic could explode with a Safin like US Open final vs Sampras performance – let’s wait and see – I believe Raonic is capable of such a performance –

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 9, 2016 at 8:13 pm

    Whoa that is a near taunt of Roger – Roger and Looby will definitely be discussing that quote and for sure Roger will now have extra incentive to avenge Raonic – Raonic might know something though and he could be telling the truth – he had a very bad record vs RF and finally beat him in January and now he’s followed up and beat RF in Wimbledon for two in a row – Raonic could be the most qualified to offer such an assessment of the state of Federer’s game –

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 11:41 pm

    Raonic is no Safin, but he does everything Mac and Moya says. We’ll see if it’s enough. Safin was such an outstanding player, one of the few to beat Federer in his prime in one of the best slam matches played in the last 12 years.

    Raonic may be right, but that’s still a statement that should motivate Federer to push himself and see himself through to another big tournament.

    Yes, I think Raonic will have his chances. I’m sure Murray has a plan hatched out with Lendl to stretch Raonic wide, move him around, return his serve and take some chances. But I think Raonic will go all out on Murray, surprise him on the baseline and do some nifty net work.

    I’ll go with the post BREXIT option of Canada winning tomorrow. Raonic in 4.

  • Andrew Miller · July 9, 2016 at 11:47 pm

    Gaurang, I’m not thrilled with a possible Raonic win. But I think that he’s under-rated for the final. He’s like Stich when Stich played Becker. Stich wasn’t the most beautiful mover out there either – smoother than Raonic because his game had fewer moving parts. Stich was nearly textbook in terms of his huge serve, forehand and backhand, nice looking volleys, etc. But he entered that Becker match, I think, as under-dog, and then Becker completely folded.

    I think this is a similar kind of deal. He enters knowing he can beat Murray. That’s a lot different than entering knowing he can’t take out Djokovic.

    Murray’s won it, and he has Lendl prepping him. So that’s pretty solid. He’s played a brilliant tournament. And no one’s in his way…except for his desire to win another Wimbledon title. And if he thinks too far ahead – let’s admit his record in slam finals isn’t the greatest (it’s fantastic, but not great), this is no shoe-in for him.

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 10, 2016 at 7:54 am

    Andrew: Safin gave no indication in 2000 that he was going to pulverize Pete in the F like he did – look at the scores of the Safin QF and SF – but in the F Safin just exploded – Raonic has that potential to possibly shine and explode in the final today – like Del Potro did in his first US Open F – We will see if Raonic explodes a historic display of tennis greatness today on Andy – it could happen –

  • Scoop Malinowski · July 10, 2016 at 7:59 am

    Raonic is at his highest of highs right now -he fought back to beat Goffin despite being down two sets – he fought back and beat a red hot and DESPERATE Federer – Raonic’s confidence is through the roof – He has the power and the weapons to pull a Safin or Del Potro – This is a fascinating match – I would be thrilled by a Raonic win because to have another titan in the top five would be great for tennis and I think Raonic will make a great champion for our sport –

  • Andrew Miller · July 10, 2016 at 12:35 pm

    Raonic’s balloon of confidence was popped. Lendl is best coach ever, taking moody Murray to a second Wimbledon title.

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