Will Djoko Surpass Federer in Slam Wins? Will The Serb Win 20 Slams?
Novak Djokovic just turned 29, an age at which most players are basically through winning slams, and bagged his 12th slam title. The question now is very legitimate, will Nole win more slams than Federer, a seemingly-Joe Dimaggio like hitting in consecutive game (56 games straight that’s been in the books now without being broken for 75 years) record, since Federer has 17 now, a record he’s only held for seven years.
Three things to keep in mind when making this prediction:
1. Federer has won only one slam since he was 29 (2012 Wimbledon).
2. Nadal is stuck on 14 and doesn’t seem like he has a very good chance of making it 15.
3. There seemingly isn’t a player young or old in the next three years, the period Djokovic will either be at or near his peak to win five or more slams to either tie or break Federer’s slam record (as long as Fed doesn’t win another slam), who seems like he has the game or the will to challenge Djoko in slams.
Vince Spadea, who beat Agassi in the Rd of 16 of the 1999 Australian Open, said he thinks Djoko will win 15 slams and no more. His reasoning is that Djokovic doesn’t slam down 12 aces or more in matches and easily stride up to net and knock off volleys. Vince thinks Djoko is very similar to Nadal, they both have two big assets going for them, fitness and speed. Vince says once Nadal got hurt and his fitness and speed diminished, he wasn’t the same player. Vince thinks the same thing, even a minor injury or life obstacle, can also derail Djoko.
Vince feels there’s a way to attack Djoko’s forehand and get him to make a few more errors off it. He thinks a player like Zverev with good coaching will be able to do this in the near future. Vince does not like Thiem’s game, especially after seeing him play on grass today, where he said Thiem stood 10 feet behind the baseline. Vince said his serve is mediocre and his strokes are too long, he reminds Vince of Juan Carlos Ferrero. But he’s intrigued by Fritz and wonders what’s happened to Tiafoe of late.
Of course, it must be said that Vince believed Nadal would win only 4 slams and Federer would not get to double-digits when I wrote “Break Point” with him back in 2005. But Spadea thinks one injury to Djoko could derail the Serb’s slam-domination train and he thinks Djoko only has three years now in which he has a chance to win more slams. Still, if Djoko were to average winning two slams a year for the next 3.5 years, that would give him seven more slam titles and a total of 19. Being so close to 20, he might be able to eke out one or two more slams after age 32.
Djoko is not only chasing Federer, he’s chasing history now, too.