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Aug/15

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Say it again, Federer vs Djokovic is the best rivalry in sports history

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Locked in at 20-20 in head to head meetings, every single battle they compete is just an awe inspiring experience to witness, how much each combatant has to lay on the line to win produces the greatest tennis we’ve been privileged to see.

Probing, punching, pounding, pummeling, pranking, poking, provoking, we see it all and then some more in a Federer vs Djokovic clash of titans.

Today they will meet for the 41st time in the Cincinnati Masters Final, with, as usual, a lot at stake: with a win, Federer can regain his ATP no. 2 ranking from Andy Murray, and the mental edge from Djokovic after losing the last three meetings. Not to mention, the 34-year old can bolster and fortify his self-belief that he can win the US Open next month.

There’s a lot at stake for Djokovic as well: He can become the first player in history to win all nine Masters Series events, he can tag another stinging loss to arch-rival Federer’s psyche, deflating all the momentum and positive energy RF has created this summer with his amazing play since losing the Wimbledon final to Djokovic.

And for the first time, Djokovic can take the lead in the overall head to head vs Federer, 21-20, which no doubt would add insult to injury to Federer’s incomparable but perhaps slightly cracking legacy.

As always it’s so very difficult to predict the outcome of this final: Court observers might think Federer will have more desire to win today, with the revenge factor fueling his drive to stop the bleeding of three straight losses to Djokovic. Also, Djokovic has shown a tendency to mentally surrender when the going gets really tough vs Federer in these non-major events, such as Fed’s last win vs Djok which happened in Dubai, with the similar pattern of Federer hanging in the match and then stealing the first set which seems to provoke Djokovic to languish just a fraction, as if to non-verbally say, ‘Ah, the heck with it, I really don’t need to beat the old geezer in this minor event, let me just throw him a bone and I’ll get him next time when it counts more.”

One can see Federer pushing Djokovic to the limits again today and stealing the first set, perhaps saving numerous break points and even set points, and then Djokovic sort of mentally and physically switching gears from fifth to fourth, in order to save his very best for the US Open. So by this logic, I favor Federer slightly today, if he can hang in there early and keep pace with Djokovic who will come out guns blazing, trying to squash the spirit of his arch nemesis.

In the women’s final, it’s hard to see Simona Halep beating a fired up Serena Williams who is on the warpath after losing stunningly in Toronto to Belinda Bencic, Serena in two sets is my call.

48 comments

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 12:55 pm

    Surprised Cincy is staging the mens final first at one, which gives the impression it’s the preliminary, then the womens as the main event at 3. But I like this better, we get to see the far better match first and don’t have to wait through a potentially monotonous women’s final.

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 2:51 pm

    Played out exactly like I expected, Fed came out firing, perfect tennis, three net cords in his favor, painting lines, Fed at his very very best, Djok tried very hard and wanted the set but he came up short, then he switched gears and seemed to possibly subconsciously tank the second, mentally packing his bags for New York as Fed closed it out comfortably 76 62 — vintage display by RF who I say is at his BEST EVER RIGHT NOW —

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 2:52 pm

    Nice to see the big smile from Fed when Djok said he may have to wait for Fed to retire to win Cincy — Big smile from FED

  • Dan markowitz · August 23, 2015 at 2:54 pm

    Fed won rather easily. Djoko played pretty flat, double-faulting three times in one game and playing tentatively. Fed is hitting backhand the best I’ve ever seen him. He’s taking more chances and moving beautifully. I say he’s the favorite to win the U.S. Djoko I find hard to root for. Both Murray’s and his game are so mechanical in comparison to Fed. And with the dour Becker and the other two goons in his box, playing up against Fed’s adorable twins, Djoko comes across as the humorless heavy.

  • Mitch · August 23, 2015 at 3:00 pm

    What an ugly trophy. Fed won’t be the favorite for the US Open, but by winning this match he’ll be seeded #2 which should give him a good shot to make the final. If he can keep returning this well he’ll be tough to beat.

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 3:06 pm

    “Humorless heavy?” You didn’t see the trophy presentation when Djokovic said he might have to wait for Roger to retire to win the Cincy title, even Fed had the hugest smile you ever saw RF smile as he said that, humorless heavy? Blatant mischaracterization, Djokovic has the best sense of humor in tennis — perhaps in tennis history —

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 3:09 pm

    SF last year for Fed at US Open, losing to Cilic, but remember the tough losses to Robredo and Tsonga and various other close calls, Fed seems less Fed-like at the US Open lately but this year going in he looks as good as ever, maybe Fed is even the top favorite — that is how spectacularly good Fed looked today and all week – not buying the surface in Cincy favors Fed, he can adjust and do it on Ashe too, he’s won the US Open on Ashe FIVE times, Mitch.

  • Bryan · August 23, 2015 at 4:11 pm

    Probably (definitely, now that Nadal’s declined?) the greatest rivalry in tennis today. Won’t go as far as saying best tennis rivalry all time, let alone the best in all of sports.

  • Bryan · August 23, 2015 at 4:14 pm

    “Fed won rather easily. Djoko played pretty flat, double-faulting three times in one game and playing tentatively.”

    Dan, IMO Federer’s weird attack on serve/drop shot completely unraveled Djoker for awhile after that first set tie breaker. Djoker doesn’t like surprises, he scouts opponents very well and when they do something that breaks normal patterns he’s unsettled. Federer won the mental game of tennis today.

  • JG · August 23, 2015 at 5:19 pm

    Tiafoe beats Harrison in Winston Salem!!

  • JG · August 23, 2015 at 5:26 pm

    You have to think you will see others trying to emulate the attack, half volley return, it will definitely rattle players and lead to double faults, you can’t do it too often.

  • Bryan · August 23, 2015 at 5:53 pm

    JG, I’d love to see players pull the Federer move. It’s completely unexpected, forces the server into a mad dash to the net at an unnatural time, and in this case directly caused Djokovic to double fault three times.

  • Dan Markowitz · August 23, 2015 at 6:54 pm

    Scoop could beat Harry now. In my book, I’m writing a chapter on Harry and I’m going to get to the crux as to why he has self-destructed in his career. I’m going to talk to Harry, his coach, his father, Harry Harry and his brother.

    I don’t think many players can duplicate the Fed half-volley return of serve net charge. You have to really have a one handed backhand and great hands and quick feet. The only other guy I could see doing it is Dimitrov and maybe FLo.

    Djoko may not be a humorless heavy, but he does get awfully pissed and Boris and the other two goons could’ve been cast in an old Sopranos episode.

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 7:37 pm

    Bryan can you tell me one rivalry that is as close as Fed Djok now 21-20? That’s as even a rivalry as it gets, and the quality of action is always, ALWAYS spectacular, like Fed says we bring the best out in each other —

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 7:39 pm

    Prime Rafa versus either Federer & especially Novak is the Premier Rivalry arguably of All-Time — which the always changing his tune like the seasons Scoop has even said repeatedly but Federer-Djokovic is the top rivalry now… Novak is beginning to come down to earth & his body is feeling the affects of playing a lot of matches at a VERY HIGH LEVEL… There’s a price to be paid for playing a more grinding, physical style that rallies on long rallies from the baseline… Roger is the VERY RARE ageless wonder… It’s a “mystery” how the guy never seems to tire on the court… Roger has put himself in the mix to be 1 of the Favorites at the US Open… I think he’ll come close but inevitably FALL SHORT like has been his pattern in Grand Slams for the most part since 2010!

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 7:43 pm

    Fed did not win rather easily, the first set was incredible tennis, fierce battling, but after losing the first set Djokovic had a letdown and seemed to lessen his intensity so as not to waste anything, with US Open around the corner, why kill himself to beat Fed in Cincy and risk injury? It’s amazing how Fed can play such full speed awesome tennis with no fear of injury, he is the ultimate iron man of tennis —

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 7:49 pm

    IMO, Kei Nishikori will be the Non-Fab 5 player who has the best chance to break out & win his 1st career Major at the US Open… Things would have to fall into place for him but he’s definitely capable… Pains me to see Rafa finally wearing down; 2015 is a lost cause for him pretty much… I could see a RESURGENCE happening next year potentially; if not, he needs to retire before his incredible legacy is tarnished in the eyes of the so-called experts… Never a pleasant sight seeing 1 of the Greatest Ever in a sport, who at their PEAK, made a strong case to be the Very Best in History, reach a point where they become ordinary… Father Time is the lone unbeatable: player, fighter, team etc. in sports… Novak, Federer, & Murray have to be considered the Favorites at the US Open… If Wowrikna resurfaces, all bets are off obviously… Kei is my darkhorse like I said… On the women’s side, Serena has a date with history & destiny unless something unforeseen happens… A “Grand” coronation awaits… Take Care fellow avid Tennis Fans & Enjoy the upcoming happenings in New York City!

  • Dan markowitz · August 23, 2015 at 8:00 pm

    CS3, how can you say Father Time is undefeated when Fed is playing this well at 34? Rafa’s five years younger, but playing and looking much older than Fed. It’s like that old Jackson Browne song for Rafa: “went to the doctor the other day, he said, “Son, it says here your 27, that’s impossible. You look like you’re 45.”

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 8:01 pm

    Ouch, another painful loss for Harrison, and a good win for Tiafoe —

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 8:03 pm

    I wonder if Fed got these ideas from my book “Marcelo Rios: The Man We Barely Knew” which I gave him a copy at the US Open two year ago — in it Gilad Bloom talked about how he played Rios in a senior event using the same unpredictable style, doing something different on every point and he crushed Rios like love and one, and Bloom was a late entry sub and Rios was the star, they played in Brazil —

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 8:25 pm

    @Dan, the only answer I can give is not everyone ages at the same rate… Federer has a much more natural, easy flowing game which has enabled him to maintain a Top Level even as he approaches the age of 35… Rafa’s PHYSICAL, Brute Force style based on athleticism, overwhelming the ball while mentally/physically wearing down his foes in more grueling matches that are heavy on long, baseline rallies was bound to result in a shorter shelf life… Just the fact that Rafa was able to be #1-2 in the World & a Grand Slam Champion for a decade is an amazing feat… It’s like in Boxing, not all fighters age at the same rate… The more ring wars a fighter is in, the sooner his days as a World Class fighter will end… Bernard Hopkins has been able to be a World Champion & Top 10 Pound-for-Pound fighter even in his 40s because he is a Master Technical Boxer who other than his fight with the Russian Monster Sergey Kovalev last year hasn’t taken any real beatings… Great Defensive skills resulted in LONGETIVITY & being a Top Fighter up to the age of 50 for BHop… On the other hand, Mexican Legend & former 4-division World Champion Erik Morales was already shopworn & past his prime as he approached the age of 30 because he took a lot of punishment in some tremendous toe-to-toe SLUGFESTS with the likes of Marco Antonio Barrera & Scoop’s Beloved Manny Pacquiao… Emmitt Smith was able to have a longer career than Earl Campbell because his running style didn’t result in him getting nearly as battered!

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 8:31 pm

    You’re right CS3, Rafa overworked, four and five hours of hardcore practice, high intensity baseline bashing, and most of his matches were the same, it’s a wonder he lasted as long as he did at the top, his body has more wear and tear than Fed, who is more of a boxer with speed and KO power, while Rafa is a brawler slugger, taking shots to land his own shots, needing an accumulation of blows to win his points, repeat over and over. Again, boxing showing it’s similarities to tennis —

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 8:35 pm

    Agreed Scoop! Amazing how the are so many similarities between the 2 sports… Federer is like an Ali while Rafa is like a Frazier… Rafa had all around tennis skills too but he preferred to make matches a BATTLE… Federer makes simplifies things!

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 8:42 pm

    Rafa has been a more repetitive type player & has only occasionally altered his tactics… I have wondered many times why he hasn’t stuck with a more attacking formula because Rafa’s BEST TENNIS has arguably been when he’s been more offensive while still possessing supreme defensive skills; 2010 & 2013 – the US Opens in those respective years being the best example… Why do you think Rafa hasn’t stuck to his more offensive style of play Scoop? I feel he’s as good, if not better playing that style… Considerable Success often breeds STUBBORNESS, DENIAL & A REFUSAL TO ADJUST when times aren’t good, which is clearly where Rafa is at right now!

  • Gaurang · August 23, 2015 at 8:45 pm

    I have never seen Roger play better than today. Today he played perfect tennis. Made very few unforced errors, execute his ultra-aggressive plan perfectly. He came into the net many times, even on second serve returns, and was very successful.

    Djokovic played well, but was nowhere close to his best. He was not executing his trademark accurate, aggressive, deep baseline play. Also, if he wouldnt have gifted the first game of the second set by committing 3 double faults, the second set could have been close.

    But Federer was nearly unbeatable, even if Djokovic would have played his best tennis today, Fed would have probably won. I have never seen a player completely dominate the world no. 1 player like today. Novak is usually able to make it a tough fight even in the matches he looses, but today Federer was just dominant from the start to the end. He never faced a break point, whereas he went deep into most of Djokovic’s service games.

    Federer is Godly. I cannot imagine any other player at the age of 34-35, playing such a high level of tennis. Federer is not a normal human, not a normal #1 player. He is the GOAT, past, present and future.

  • Dan markowitz · August 23, 2015 at 8:49 pm

    Scoop, seriously, I mean seriously, you think Fed is modeling his game after Gilad Bloom’s tactics in a Seniors match against Rios?!

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 9:00 pm

    The term “Maestro” is only reserved for a Master… Djokovic seems to struggle the most in matches in which he has a chance to achieve history… Whether it’s completing a career Grand Slam at Roland Garros or become the first player in ATP history to win all 9 Masters 1000 series titles in Cincinnati… The Djoker is a tremendous Tennis Machine but his psyche is his biggest weakness… He has tremendous resolve & the ability to come back in matches as well bounce back after tough defeats… The more Novak starts thinking prior to or during a match, especially 1 with a lot at stake, the more VULNERABLE he is… It takes quite a player & competitor to expose Novak’s shaky psyche though… In his younger years, he cracked & tapped out regularly… Not nearly as much post 2011 but it still happens on a semi-recurring basis!

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 9:13 pm

    CS3, Rafa is a grinder, a brawler, he likes to slug it out and, as Gilles Muller told, he likes to make his opponents “suffer” on the court — he used to always speak out and pride himself on trying to improve his game, try to get better, but lately over the last two years, because of confidence issues and fading speed and agility, he has stagnated and abandoned that philosophy of working to improve and become better, while it’s Federer who is now the one experimenting and revising and trying to tactics, new racquet, new coach, new ideas – the irony —

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 9:17 pm

    Gaurang, I agree, Federer has never been better than he was today, today was something magical, it was ‘the zone’ just a masterpiece, he shock and awed Djokovic and the world, this was one of the greatest displays of pro tennis we have ever seen, maybe it was the best performance ever, I rank this up there with Rios beating Agassi at the 98 Miami final, in three straight sets, this match we saw today was something very special — Fed I don’t think even hit a serve into the net until like the end of the first set or was that early in the second? He didn’t hit one bad shot, not one shank except for that one in the tiebreaker that dropped just past the net and Djok couldn’t handle, even the three net cords went for winners, magic was in the air in Cincy today and Federer was the wizard with the magic wand —

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 9:20 pm

    Dan, read that passage again by Bloom about playing Rios, it might have triggered something, though I do know Fed has always been a crafty, tricky, unpredictable player, who likes to surprise, in Facing Federer one player told me about playing young Fed and young Fed was hitting slower first serves and faster second serves — and we do know Fed loves Rios’s style and way of playing, who knows maybe Bloom’s different tactic on every point strategy vs Rios triggered something in Fed’s mind — you never know, Jeff Borowiak once got advice from a ball kid at Wimbledon who told him to go to the net more, and it turned Jeff from a loser into a winner that match — this anecdote was written in one of Peter Bodo’s early books “Inside Tennis.”

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 23, 2015 at 9:23 pm

    CS3 I think part of today was motivation and Fed had a lot more than Djokovic, he lost three in a row to Nole, he needed this win a lot more than Djok, who really needs to preserve himself for US Open, especially after losing the first set tiebreaker, you could see Djok was really ticked off and he letdown, if today was the US Open final, he would have fought a lot harder for the win, he didn’t want it as much today as Fed did, I think the Jack Kramer theory about “subconscious tanking” was possibly a factor in the equation of the match (after the first set) we saw today —

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 9:38 pm

    I do buy into the match meaning a lot more to Roger… I think Novak would love to become the first player to win at least 1 title at all 9 Masters 1000 series events however winning a Grand Slam title is a much bigger goal & the effort level is raised considerably on that kind of stage… Federer seems to always feel very comfortable in Cincy… The fast playing hard courts really agree with his aggressive, quick points, style of playing… When Roger is serving well, he usually beats anyone!

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 9:40 pm

    Novak does need to reserve some injury… He is looking just a little more human these days… I think his body is feeling it some as he’s been pushed to the limit a lot more than usual in 2015 the last 2 weeks… Even the Top Player(s) are prone to “hitting the wall” during the final stretch of the season!

  • CS3 · August 23, 2015 at 9:41 pm

    *reserve some energy I meant obviously

  • Gaurang · August 23, 2015 at 11:34 pm

    Yeah Djokovic had some elbow injury in Montreal, and a stomach injury in the match against Dolgopolov. Maybe age is catching up with him. Since switching to gluten free diet, he has had a mostly injury free career (apart from retiring in two matches in late 2011 from playing too much tennis)

  • CS3 · August 24, 2015 at 12:36 am

    Novak is approaching that age where most players start to decline – 29… Not saying he will but Novak is also a player who plays a more physically taxing style… He is the Top right now & figures to be at least for another year or 2 but only time will tell… Looking at Novak recently, he looks like something is going on with his body!

  • CS3 · August 24, 2015 at 12:38 am

    Playing late into every tournament equals very good results but it also amounts to more wear & tear on the body… Novak may be tiring & fading like players who have Amazing years often do in the season’s second half!

  • Dan markowitz · August 24, 2015 at 3:06 am

    Oh come on CS3, the guy is still lightening fast and a full head ahead of everyone in the race. Sure Djoko isn’t invincible, but if he’s breaking down, I want some of that breaking down. Look, your point about Djoko not playing his best in the big matches is apt. This and his rather mechanical style of play, he’s elastic but very stiff at the same time with his style of play, are his two Achilles heels.

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 24, 2015 at 7:56 am

    Gaurang, that supposed stomach injury disappeared after the medical time out, no traces of it after — elbow looked normal and healthy too, Fed just opened the can of Whoop Ass yesterday 🙂

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 24, 2015 at 7:58 am

    Maybe Djokovic did run out of some turbo after the long week in Montreal and the tough demanding week in Cincy with the Goffin and Dolgo matches draining him — Fed said his Cincy week was “quite easy” and remember, Fed was fresher because he skipped MTL —

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 24, 2015 at 7:59 am

    Dan/CS3, There is no doubt Fed was the fresher player yesterday, less draining week and he skipped Montreal, where Djokovic made the final and lost a marathon to Murray —

  • Moskova Moskova · August 24, 2015 at 8:17 am

    @ cs3 – dont forget about swiiss’s pharma industry and they have better doctors than espana ! 😉

    @ scoop – djoko’s a phony ! 😉

    @ dan – dont forget about our bet – tiafo aint gona be no top 50 in 2 years ! 😉

  • Harold · August 24, 2015 at 9:19 am

    In 1988 during the Austrailian Open final, Cliff Drysdale said Mats Wilander, 24 at the time, would retire at 26,just like Borg, because you cannot play that grind out style of tennis, without your body breaking down. O thought that was a tad presumptious on CD’s part, but he was right. Wilander did not retire,but he was never the same player by the time he was 26. Injuries, maybe partying( did have a Coke suspension)might have played a role.

    1988’s 26, is 2015’s 29. The grinders have a much more physical battle these days. Tennis in 88, was not as close to the physical game now. Maybe it’s the string, the raquets, the physios that these guys.

    Fed just glides through his career, while the other 3 of the core 4, grind out matches, from the first round to the final.

    The only difference is back then Master’s were 3 out of 5

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 24, 2015 at 2:58 pm

    Astute prediction by Drysdale good find Harold, like I said, it’s a wonder Rafa has lasted as long as he has, he really has been declining for years but somehow he willed himself to win his last two French Opens, he stole them from Djokovic with pure intensity and insatiable desire, Djokovic was the better player but Rafa outwilled him — IMO

  • sharoten · August 25, 2015 at 8:19 pm

    Nadal stole his wins from Djokovic??? What a joke. You clowns just won’t give Rafa the credit he deserves for being such a great player – his tennis game plus his mental strength.

    In that 2013 SF, Djokovic had 78 UFE, Rafa had 47. Who was the better player? They had virtually the same number of winners, 59 to 58. Rafa won 70.4% of his 1st serve points and 62.7% of his 2nd. Djokovic won 64.9% and 47.7%. Rafa saved 6 of 11 break points, Djokovic 8 of 16. Rafa won 39.4% of his return points, Djokovic 32.1%.

    2014F was much the same. 1st serve points won 72.6% to 72.0% for Rafa, 50.0% to 36.4% 2nd serves won for Rafa, 6/9 to 4/10 BP saved for Rafa, 40.5% to 34.2% return points won for Rafa.

    Stats don’t always tell the whole story but they can give you a lot of important information and the facts are that Rafa gave Djokovic a comprehensive beating that day in 2013 and Djokovic was lucky it even went to a fifth set. Rafa should have won in four. 2014 wasn’t as good a match from either of them but despite cramping badly in the fourth set, Rafa won comfortably.

    Rafa didn’t steal his 67 tournament championships, 14 slams, 27 masters, 15 500s, 4 Davis Cups, and Olympic gold medal. He damn well earned them with his fabulous unique tennis.

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 25, 2015 at 11:03 pm

    It’s not a knock on Rafa Sharoten, it’s a credit that he was able to, IMO, win the last two French Opens despite not being the better player, I think Djokovic was better but Rafa found a way to win, outwilled, outdesired Djokovic — both matches were very close Djok had the lead but Rafa raised the intensity levels and Djok could not keep pace, the better player does not always win, the smarter and mentally and physically tougher player does and I think Rafa had the edge on Djokovic in those departments back then, but the tables have been turned — This opinion should not be taken as a discredit in Rafa, who is arguably the best player to ever play the game, his dominance of Federer and winning all four majors, OLY, Davis Cup is incredible —

  • sharoten · August 26, 2015 at 6:18 am

    So YOU think Djokovic played better even though Rafa out-served him, out-returned him, made fewer errors, had more winners and, according to you, played smarter and mentally tougher. Okey dokey. That makes a lot of sense. Guess that explains why you think all those American players ranked in the 100s are going to be winning slams soon. *rollseyes*

  • Scoop Malinowski · August 26, 2015 at 7:18 am

    Sharoten; I believe Djokovic should have won at least two or three of the last four French Opens, but in one way or another he choked, he didn’t get the job done — this year he finally handled Rafa but then Stan came out of the blue with the best performance of his career — Tough luck for Djokovic, not to take anything away from Nadal, he’s found a way to win huge matches throughout his career — Rafa has a way of making great players play below their normal expected standards — I haven’t said any of the young Americans are destined to be major title winners, but they are on track the right track to become top players, wouldn’t count any of them out yet, they are all still young and forming —

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