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Oct/14

20

Basel, Valencia and Singapore

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Nadal and Federer could meet in Basel. Star studded field in Basel includes Stan the Man and some intriguing first round matchups: Dimitrov vs. young Zverev, Janowicz vs. Istomin, Coric vs. Gulbis, Raonic vs. Steve Johnson, Goffin vs. Thiem, and Dr. Ivo vs. Rosol.

Isner, Kozlov are in Valencia where Ferrer is number one seed, Berdych is #2. Also in Valencia are Agut, Murray, Fognini, Verdasco, Simon, Dolgopolov, F-Lo and Robredo.

Serena will try to lockdown the WTA number one ranking in Singapore.

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78 comments

  • Dan Markowitz · October 22, 2014 at 8:51 pm

    Well, winning a slam is a real stretch for Gulbis. It’s not like he’s been knocking at the door of winning a slam up until this year. In fact, the exact opposite was true. But for Gulbis to lose 6 and 3 to Coric, a 17-year-old, is really bad. I saw Estrella Burgos beat Coric in 4 sets at the Open. Gulbis is just not a Top 20 player with results like this. I’m sure Gulbis wasn’t at his best, but he’s playing a 17-year-old.

    Biggest win of the day goes to Nick Monroe and Austin Kraijcek beating Butorac and Klassen. Nick Monroe is playing some good doubs with different partners. I’ve got to commend him.

  • Bryan · October 23, 2014 at 1:48 am

    Berna Coric strikes again! Not happy it happened to one of my faves Gulbis but it’s great seeing the young Croat bringing heat in his first year as a pro.

    Don’t really care about WTA Championships or ATP London since none of my favorites are top 8. They can all smash each other to bits and hopefully everything resets in January.

  • Dan Markowitz · October 23, 2014 at 8:23 am

    How can you not like Halep, Bryan? Girl is like 5-5 and obliterates Serena yesterday.

    You don’t like Nishikori? One of the cleaner strikers of the ball ever. You don’t like the way Fed is playing these days?

    Besides Gulbis, who are your favorites?

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 23, 2014 at 9:20 am

    Spoke with Kozlov’s dad, he feel Stefan is close, despite loss to Klizan. Remember, earlier this year Coric lost in straights to Berrer. He was close and now has figured out how to win matches like this. Kozlov is close he will figure it out soon. 3 and 3 is competitive ATP scoreline, the kid belongs. Janowicz lost like one and one, should he be demoted to Challengers?

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 23, 2014 at 9:21 am

    Maria 0-2 at Singapore. Ouch. And she had a shot to be number one. She can usually handle Wozniacki and Kvitova. Maria might be in decline. Serena vs. Bouchard should be a war.

  • Andrew Miller · October 23, 2014 at 11:28 am

    WHat? 3 and 3 competitive? That is a bridge too far forme to cross . The match is in espn3. I will take a look. Me thinks papa kozlov is no toni nadal, no clear analysis there, maybe some spin . Uncle toni would say face the facts, long way to go.

    Klizan is really good – the kozlov match wasn’t a knock em out war. Got to accept reality. Seems like a wildcard grab to me. Cash. No shame.

  • Dan Markowitz · October 23, 2014 at 11:40 am

    I think we all know Jerzy Boy is not competing for any slams anymore. He didn’t go past a 3rd Round in a slam this year. But demoting him back to Challengers might be bit much. Dude is still No. 36.

    I disagree with you, Andrew. I don’t think it’s just a money grab by Kozlov to take the wc. The guy had gotten to a finals of a Challenger recently, he deserved a wc. Interesting it was in Valencia, though. Why would a Spanish tournament give an American junior a wc?

    But you might be right on DY, Andrew. He has taken the 2nd set breaker against Raonic and it’s a set apiece in Basel. DY showing life. Even serving and volleying to win final point in breaker at 6-5.

  • Dan Markowitz · October 23, 2014 at 12:37 pm

    Young couldn’t make it happen. Got to a breaker in 3rd set against Raonic, who was misfiring right and left off both his forehand and backhand side (commentator on Tennis Channel made a ridiculous remark saying Raonic’s inside-out forehand is usually the best in the game. What! Better than Nadal’s and Djoko’s or Berdych’s? I don’t think so).

    But then Young who was moving real well in this match and making Raonic play extra shots, dumped three backhands either in the net or way wide. It was horrible display of a breaker for DY after he’d played so strong to get there. That backhand will always be why DY can’t be a Top 20 player.

  • Andrew Miller · October 23, 2014 at 12:59 pm

    Dan, no complaints from me. If Kozlov gets wcs and wants to test the waters and get paid for it, what’s not to like as a player? From the player point of view it’s all upside – experience, main draw action, higher level tennis, accommodations – seems plus all the way around. So my comments on the shameless play for cash is definitely wrong, there are more reasons than that.

    I do have an issue with Papa Kozlov’s statement that 3 and 3 is a good result all things considered. But maybe I ought to check the tape and see how Kozlov actually handled the storm, maybe this was a competitive match with lots of 40-40 games and Kozlov getting break points and responding to the Klizan game. 3 and 3 is not 0 and 0 or 1 and 0, and I’d guess the Kozlov game is handicapped on an indoor court at least at this age.

    Here are some results:

    Williams d. Bouchard 6-1 6-1 in under 58 minutes, including towel breaks, line call reviews and more. That big X on Bouchard’s back is now bigger than Bouchard! This has been an embarassing 2nd half of the season for Bouchard, her performance post Wimbledon has been pretty substandard in comparison to her match play up until the Kvitova match. This is a real tale of two cities with Kvitova doing better and better after that match and Bouchard doing worse and worse! Reminds me of the Ivanovic tailspin some years ago.

    Why I like Ivanovic. She recognized her game went south and abandoned her, and went about getting back in the hunt.

    Woz win over A Rad is a good one, Rory you did good! The WTA should send Rory a thank you card for bringing Woz back to life.

    Not putting much stock in the Sharapova loss, Kvitova can be on fire sometimes – when she’s on she’s on, and when she’s off well she is just off off off.

    Valencia:

    Chardy d. Dolgo. That’s a nice result for Chardy.

    Anderson d. Klizan without a point played. Guess Klizan was more affected be the Kozlov match than I thought! Maybe Mr. Kozlov was right.

    Andujar d. Lasovic, follows up the Berdych win. Don’t know Andujar but this is a good win after an upset.

    Murray downs the Fog-man. Nice work by Murray.

    Ferrer over Verdasco. No surprise, as much as I like Verdasco’s game it’s been years since he’s been a consistent threat.

    Bellucci beats Bautista Agut without playing a point. I guess last week was too much for Bautista. Nice to see Bellucci continue to advance through draws. I think he really is on his way back into the top 50. Nice work.

    Basel:
    Milos Raonic d. DY, 7-6 in the third! I got this wrong but I hand it to DY for backing up my hunch that he was due for a big match result. Hope he takes this in stride and goes out and wins an ATP tournament soon, get that milestone out of the way.

    Becker d. Kukushkin. Nice result for Becker. The Harrison loss earlier this year is looking a lot better – I thought Harrison should win that match vs. Becker but obviously Becker has a lot more to say about that. Apologies to the Harrison camp.

    And in Argentina, the challenger there featured four matches and all Argentines. Let’s hear it for gaming the system!

  • Andrew Miller · October 23, 2014 at 1:07 pm

    Agree on the DY backhand. Sometimes he gets some nice angles on it but it has a volatility / shakiness / inconsistency to it that then plagues the rest of his game. If it became a consistent shot I think DY could depend on it not to let him down during a match.

    It’s a better shot than say the Steve Johnson backhand or the Sock backhand, but that is a low bar. He needs to steady it, fortify it like Fish did with his forehand or Blake did with his backhand so that it does not let him down.

  • Andrew Miller · October 23, 2014 at 1:10 pm

    Raonic inside out forehand the best in the game? Is that really even a compliment these days? U.S. players usually can only hit the forehand and the inside out forehand nowadays so I’d think their inside out forehands are good (so it seems like a put down of the Raonic game!)

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 23, 2014 at 1:36 pm

    Heckuvan effort by against Raonic who took Kei to 64 in the fifth at US Open. Seems Raonic could be weary legged since US Open he’s had medicore results. Except for the MTB by DY this is a positive result. I just know Spadea can remedy that BH.

  • Andrew Miller · October 23, 2014 at 2:16 pm

    Yeah but DY might say to himself: “I was close to Raonic, I must not be that far” <– fallacy though. He'd have to be brutally honest, "Missed a lot of backhands out there, worth checking out and let me check with Spadea or someone who knows how to do this well so that next time this works".

    Nadal does that but it's not clear how many other players do it or who does that. I know Sock re-works things but to go from "that was a close match and with a few balls here or there this will work out for me" to "backhand losing me matches" to "I got to get advice from someone who can fix this with me" is just not a given, can't just take that to the bank that a player will accurately diagnose what's wrong and fix it.

    I mean look at Bouchard? She might be saying to herself hey, I made a slam final, slam semifinal, nothing wrong with my game. But that's a recipe for disaster. Sharapova is the exact opposite, who says (this is on the record) my serve isn't working, I need to re-do this, I will get the right help and make it work out in the long run.

    Mayotte I think had a really good opinion on this – a player can ALWAYS improve. But few players actually do the improvement. Part of what makes Nadal such a great player, his humility and ability to recognize reality then put in the work to do it with his team is part of what makes him such a great champion. Hard to beat someone who is always a moving target and whose game keeps evolving.

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 23, 2014 at 4:12 pm

    DY had a good year. Some quality wins and some impressive losses – five set loss at FO to Spaniard which got him a standing ovation from French crowd. But he also had some lackluster performances with some ugly scorelines. Still he’s in the mix and if he can manage to upgrade his game, fitness and mind heading into next year, who knows. DY is in a lot better position than some of the other struggling ballyhooed young Americans.

  • Andrew Miller · October 23, 2014 at 4:55 pm

    Agree on that scoop. Dy has t talent, why it can be tough to be a dy fan, it is a rollercoaster. The less heralded players like steve johnson are doing better than thr more hyped yankees but it is all relative. U.s. players just arent the story – it is better than last year at least and in best of three set matches i think a player not named quisner will soon break through and grab a title. Not a slam or a masters but not a challenger either.

  • jblitz · October 24, 2014 at 1:06 am

    I’m looking forward to tomorrow’s match between Coric and Nadal. Wonder how the kid is going to handle an elite player’s game but it should be an exciting experience for him. Rafa was his childhood idol so he might be a bit overwhelmed at first but I hope he does well.

  • Andrew Miller · October 24, 2014 at 1:02 pm

    Today’s matches and results.

    Basel
    Federer vs. Dimitrov: My pick is Grigor. He’s due to beat Fed and on his home-court. Federer won’t want to lose this but not wanting to lose isn’t winning, so I’m going with Dimitrov.

    Nadal vs. Coric. JBlitz is right, this should be interesting. I think no matter what Nadal wins. He might need a warm-up set to get used to Coric, but I think he wins that too.

    Valencia
    Robredo vs. Andujar. Still don’t know Andujar. Must be a dangerous player! I like Robredo here.

    Results:

    Ivanovic d. Halep in 3 tough sets. What’s not to like about Ivanovic? Used to think she said the right things but didn’t execute on court, but here she is again, beating Bouchard to bring their H2H to 1-2 and avenge Australia, now beating Halep too. If Ivanovic wins the WTA final, that would be a huge result, proof positive that the long road back to relevance is worth it. for all players in a funk, Harrisons included, take note.

    Wozniaki d. Kvitova, 6-3 6-2. The WTA should not only send a thank you to Rory McIlroy for calling off the wedding but also a bottle of champagne. He’s done more for Wozniaki’s game than any coach or motivational speech or anything – he hit a nerve and that nerve came back to life. Three cheers for Wozniaki, who I think Scoop said would come back too.

    Wozniaki and Ivanovic, comeback players of the year!

    Sharapova d. Radwanska in 3 plus hours. Sharapova grinds it out against the clever Radwanska, no way this was a pretty match. Let’s hear it for winning ugly.

    Valencia
    Murray d. Anderson in 3 tough sets. Murray isn’t winning beautifully either so credit him for toughing these matches out. Anderson has put together his best year, I liked him in Delray and he has been a consistent performer with a clean as a whistle game. Wonder if anyone can light a fire under Anderson so he wins these matches.

    Chardy d. Carreno. Carreno made leaps last year in winning challenger after challenger after challenger – he was like a Goffin without Goffin’s game, or a poor man’s Ferrero take your pick! and at age 23, 24? he’s had a good result here. Nice work by Chardy in winning a match he should win and in 51 minutes – just enough to break a sweat. Chardy, Cilic and DY, three players who were at the tops of their junior division, are making a decent career out there (Cilic of course the top one here by a long shot, but not bad work from Chardy and Young – better make the most of it!). Seems at age 25 is when tennis players are hitting more of the mark these days on the ATP tour.

    Ferrer d. Bellucci 6-1 6-2 in 67 minutes. Another blowout, at least Bellucci has made a nice run here up to this point.

    Basel
    Goffin d. Raonic in 3 tough sets. I liked how Goffin played at the US Open vs. Dimitrov at least for the first two sets. Count me a Goffin fan, let’s see how far the Belgian can go!

    Karlovic d. Ben Becker. Another tournament and more proof that Karlovic and Becker are from from done on the ATP.

    Nadal-Coric has officially started.

  • Andrew Miller · October 24, 2014 at 1:51 pm

    Coric 6-2 first set. Nadal needs to man up.

  • Andrew Miller · October 24, 2014 at 3:07 pm

    Coricwins 6-2 7-6. Coric joins Kyrgios as teenage heirs to Nadal. Expect Nadal to rebound next year. He will have to. Job well done by the kid.

  • Dan markowitz · October 24, 2014 at 4:16 pm

    That is sick. Didnt see match, but Rafa losing to Klizan then Coric, I know it’s indoors and he was off for a long time, but this is shocking. Raonic is underwhelming w nail-biter against DY and loss to Goffin. I wonder if Nadal will show up in London.

  • Andrew Miller · October 24, 2014 at 5:06 pm

    Federer d. Dimitrov 7-6 6-2, 90 minutes. No Baby Fed here.

    Interesting mix these days of players on the verge of big titles like Nishikori and a crop of players that refuse to wait their turn for a crack at the big time in Coric. Then you have the gatekeepers who just want to keep winning big titles, Nadal Djokovic Federer Murray.

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 24, 2014 at 8:52 pm

    Not Actually shocked by Rafa losing to Coric. This kid is good darn good. Rafa is on auto pilot, and I doubt Rafa wants to put a beatdown on Fed in his backyard, as he respects him too much. But then again, Fed is playing so well, effective at net, maybe he can actually solve the Rafa puzzle now. I didn’t see any of Coric upsetting Rafa but my friend just told me Coric was down in the TB but made the big shots, he earned it, Rafa did not give it away. Coric is the real deal. Hat’s off to Dr. Ivo, still getting the job done. Also credit to Benjamin Becker he told me in spring he was struggling to win two matches in a row at tourneys but he fixed that problem. He’s had a lot of wins this year. The turning pt seemed to be beating Harrison oin the 3rd set TB in Miami. Big win for BB. Also, he’s coached now by Andrei Pavel, who was a very solid successful player, won a Master Series.

  • jblitz · October 24, 2014 at 10:38 pm

    Kudos to Coric. He played a terrific match and his composure for a 17 yr old was amazing to see. He reminds me of Rafa in so many ways.

    However, Rafa was at about 50%, maybe 60%. You’d have to dig deep into the history books to find a match where he made 37 UEs in two sets. It was very difficult as a fan to see him struggling so much and unable to hit a forehand or to run for shots. I’m not taking anything away from Coric as Rafa started to play better in the second set and Coric stayed with him but let’s not be calling Coric a world beater just quite yet, although I’m certainly looking forward to seeing what he can do.

    Rafa has pulled out of Paris and the WTF and will have surgery on November 3. He’s also going to have something done to his back although he was rather vague about that but he’s been struggling with it all year since the AO. This is what he said after the match:

    ‘…he made the decision last week to undergo surgery on Nov. 3, and that his 2014 season is over. ‘It’s the day to say goodbye to the season,” Nadal said. ”It’s been a very hard year for me, mentally and physically. I’m not going to play Paris and London, I’m not competitive enough for that. I need to do the surgery for my appendix and I need to work on my back.

    ”I need five weeks of rest and I want to have one month to try to work as much as I can to be ready for 2015. The only way to work on being fit is to be healthy. I need to fix all the things in my body first.”

    Needless to say, I wish Rafa the best and hope he can resolve his problems. It’s been a tough year for his fans too. ;’)

  • Andrew Miller · October 25, 2014 at 11:04 am

    Serena d. Woz, Halep d. ARad. Can Halep take it? I like Haleps slam chances, Wozniaki’s too maybe even a 2nd slam title for Ivanovic in 2015. Never thought we would see woz back in gear.

    Maybe more credit in woz case goes to the marathon training vs. Rory. Fish had same kind of results when he upped the fitness.

    Basel:
    Goffin d. Coric in three.

    Paris Masters qualies:
    Wow, the qualies for the Paris masters is harder than a slam qualies!

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 25, 2014 at 7:05 pm

    Boy you just have to take your hat off to Goffin, what a second half of the year. Isn’t his record like 44-2 for his hot streak? That’s Djokovic and McEnroe like. Goffin for top ten next year? Hey if Melzer and Fish and Youzhny could do or come close to doing it, you never know. Coric is the real deal, let’s say it again. Just imagine the fury Serena will work herself into to get revenge on Halep. Halep better be ready for Psycho Serena.

  • Andrew Miller · October 26, 2014 at 9:53 am

    Williams d. Halep 6-3 6-0. Scoop got it.

    Robredo vs. Murray for valencia title.
    Goffin vs. Federer now for basel title.

    And…3 u.s. players players qualify for paris masters. Nice run by querrey sock and dy, lets see if can win a round. Johnson lost in qualifying to lucas pouille.

  • Scoop Malinowski · October 26, 2014 at 7:11 pm

    What a response by Serena to lose 0 and 2 and then a few days later exact revenge with a similar thrashing. More evidence of Serena’s greatness. It’s got to be hard for any player to beat the “God of Tennis” in his home court in Basel. Didn’t see the match but there had to be a factor of deference by Goffin, who has said Fed was his hero with the posters on his childhood walls. Nice bounce back by Murray and his pilot Mauresmo. Hey maybe Harrison could benefit by having a female coach such as Capriati, Seles, Davenport or Sanchez Vivario.

  • Bryan · October 27, 2014 at 4:30 pm

    “How can you not like Halep, Bryan? Girl is like 5-5 and obliterates Serena yesterday. You don’t like Nishikori? One of the cleaner strikers of the ball ever. You don’t like the way Fed is playing these days? Besides Gulbis, who are your favorites?”

    Hi Dan. I actually do like Nishikori and Halep, they just aren’t my favorites. On the men’s side my faves are Isner, Gulbis, Jerzy and Delpo. I’ll watch them anytime anywhere. When they’re out I’m not going out of my way to watch tennis.

    That said, I did watch some of Federer’s matches last week and appreciate how well he’s playing nowadays. Best he’s been in years.

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